Name: Promised vs. Produced Tracker
Creator: IndustriousAF
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Newest to produce · MI · Aug 2026
Ultium Cells, Lansing
Biggest still building · NY · $100B
Micron, Clay
Longest waiting · LA · since Apr 2018
Formosa Plastics, St. James Parish

What counts

A single U.S. factory in any sector, announced since January 2017, that promised:

$1B+in capital

2,000+jobs in the factory

33 states, ranked by what was promised

Bar length is announced capital. The solid part is producing; the hatched part is not yet. Open a state for its own board, or see all 165 promises on one board.

capital now producing capital not yet producing, or cancelled

15 of the lower 48 have no tracked promise since 2017. A share-producing rank appears on the 17 state pages with three or more promises. Each of those states has only a few rows, so the rank is a count, not a judgment.

Why this matters

An announcement doesn’t hire anyone.

When a promised factory is late or never produces, the company isn’t the only one that pays.

TaxpayersGovernments often commit tax credits, grants and local incentives when a project is announced, before it makes anything.
TownsTowns build roads, water, power and housing around an employer that may not arrive, and start training programs for it.
WorkersPeople train for promised jobs, turn down other work or move for them. Workforce programs spend money getting them ready.
Local economiesA running factory pulls in suppliers, services and local spending that a stalled site never does.
TimeA factory that produces three years late pushes all of this back three years. The Tracker records how late each one is.

Cite the Tracker

The data is CC BY 4.0. Use it for anything, commercial work included, and name the Tracker when you do.

Short form, for slides, posts and articles

Source: IndustriousAF, Promised vs. Produced Tracker (as of Q3 2026)

Full citation

IndustriousAF. (2026). Promised vs. Produced Tracker (Version 1.8) [Data set]. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23116675

The data behind every figure here is on GitHub.

Found something wrong? Correct us on GitHub, or email us.

The next recount

Get the recount when we publish it.

We recount every promise each quarter. The next one is due at the end of Q4 2026.

How we collected this

Data: Promised vs. Produced Tracker, 165 promises at the $1B or 2,000 direct jobs floor across 33 states, verified through 2026-10-03 · A person verified every promise against its sources, and we have logged 88 corrections · 165 of 165 carry both a promise source and a status source · map: Census cartographic boundaries via us-atlas, AlbersUSA · We placed each site at its town by hand and drew the bars and marks from the Tracker, without a chart library